Katharina Hobgarski vs Mia Ristic Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In the last six months, Ristic has a slightly better second serve success rate, winning 38.46% of points compared to Hobgarski's 35.78%.
• Hobgarski has an edge in the return game, capturing 49.17% of opponents' second serve points, whereas Ristic has managed 48.17%.
• When facing first serves, Hobgarski again holds an advantage with a 39.04% return rate as opposed to Ristic’s 37.5%.
• How do these return stats influence predictions? With a high correlation to match outcomes, Hobgarski might have the upper hand in this area.
• Under pressure, Ristic has proven slightly more resilient, saving 49.59% of breakpoints. Hobgarski saved 46.71% in similar situations.
• In terms of overall match performance, Hobgarski maintains a higher win ratio of 69.44%, winning 50 out of 72 games compared to Ristic’s 60.71% win record from 84 matches.
• Surface preferences reveal Ristic excels on Hard surfaces with a 68% win rate but struggles on Indoor Hard, where the win rate drops to 48%. Hobgarski’s strength lies on Clay surfaces with a winning percentage of 68%.
• Discussing match level, both players frequently compete in Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K. Hobgarski boasts a higher win percentage at this level with 65.38%, defeating Ristic's 61.54%.
• When considering the quality of competition, Ristic's opponents have a higher average rank of 333.13, presenting a tougher challenge compared to Hobgarski’s average opponent rank of 461.5.
• Both players show equal ability in deciding set matches over the past year, winning 50% of these closely contested sets.
• Ristic has converted 41.01% of break points recently, whereas Hobgarski has a slightly better rate at 44.81%, indicating potential advantages in crucial moments.

Editorial Prediction (August 6, 2025, UTC):

As Ristic and Hobgarski prepare to face off, both players possess unique strengths and weaknesses that will come into play. Ristic's slightly superior second serve percentages and breakpoint defense demonstrate solid mental toughness in high-pressure situations.

Hobgarski, however, demonstrates stronger return game stats and overall match win performance, indicating an ability to secure essential points in crucial moments. Moreover, his competition has been slightly less challenging on average.

Overall, while Ristic's experience with tougher opponents and resilience in saving breakpoints is commendable, Hobgarski's advantages in winning break points and returning serve effectively suggest he might hold a slight edge in this matchup. Based on these factors, Hobgarski is more likely to emerge victorious in their upcoming encounter.